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2024-12-13 04:43:09

Let's take a look at today's market. The full-day amplitude of the market is only 20 points, and it can't break through 3440 up. If it turns green down, it will be quickly pulled red. This narrow fluctuation of extremely low space is either the whole market is extremely inactive or controlled by a pair of invisible hands. This is almost the same as the trend during the Third Plenary Session of the Twentieth Central Committee in mid-July this year!It can be said that after yesterday's close, most investors are pessimistic about today's market. Because new investors will associate it with the sharp opening and closing on October 8th, while old investors will be scared by the trend of peripheral China assets last night, and then they will have pessimistic expectations for today's market. However, what everyone didn't expect was that the performance of the whole market was fairly stable today. The market stood firm on the fifth line all day and remained slightly red. Although it was smashed green twice in the session, it was pulled up in an instant, giving people a feeling that they can't fall if they want to fall!If institutions and hot money are not the main force of yesterday's smashing, how did yesterday's high opening and low walking form?


According to the analysis of Jun Ge [A-share news] this morning, there were only seven stocks with a net purchase of more than 10 million in the main institutional seats yesterday, and three of them came from the same sector, that is, prepared dishes! Prefabricated dishes are a relatively flexible subdivision direction in the theme of big consumption. Under normal circumstances, the main institutions rarely switch positions to the theme of big consumption, because the growth of the theme of big consumption is generally not high, which belongs to a typical defensive theme. Yesterday, the main institutions suddenly increased their positions to prepare vegetables, which needs our great attention.Of course, some fans and friends have raised questions about this. Brother Jun noticed that in the comment area of yesterday afternoon's article, some fans and friends thought that yesterday's heavy volume was high and low, obviously there were funds fleeing. Since the funds are fleeing, no matter how the background changes, the market will probably fall in the short term!


Second, in the early stage of the meeting, in addition to the financial advantage, there is a more important political task, which is to maintain stability during the meeting and avoid large fluctuations in the market. The purpose of maintaining stability here is not only to prevent the short-term sharp decline of the market, but also to prevent the sharp rise. If it is a sharp drop, it will increase the buying power to pull up the index. If it is a sharp rise, it will throw out the chips for the pressure plate last Friday.The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.Then why is this trend happening? Many investors may think that yesterday's A shares opened higher and went lower under the favorable stimulus of the Politburo meeting, which is very similar to last year's 828 market and the trend on October 8 this year. But in your brother's view, these three false yin lines are just similar in shape, but the cores are not the same.

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